LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
back to markets
GeographyRussiaimportcloses in 83d 21h

Will Russia confirm an imported Andes case by August 1?

Rospotrebnadzor public confirmation of an Andes virus infection diagnosed in Russia.

YES
13¢
NO
87¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES on official Rospotrebnadzor or Ministry of Health bulletin naming a lab-confirmed Andes case before 2026-08-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: Rospotrebnadzor + WHO Euro

Resolution sources · 2

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

Related markets