Will any city >1M residents be placed under stay-at-home order citing hantavirus by Aug 1?
Wuhan was sealed on 23 Jan 2020 — 11M people, the largest peacetime cordon sanitaire in history. Tracks any single city >1M placed under enforced stay-at-home/cordon order naming hantavirus.
Resolves YES if any city with population >1,000,000 (per UN World Urbanization Prospects) is placed under enforced stay-at-home or cordon sanitaire order naming hantavirus before 2026-08-01.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: Government emergency decrees + Reuters/AP
Resolution sources · 4
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Same role as Reuters; AP often publishes WHO embargoes first.
Global news ingestion — geocoded, multilingual. Best signal for non-English regional outbreaks.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry