Will Carnival, Royal Caribbean or NCL drop ≥30% from May 8 close by July 1?
Between Feb 20 and Mar 18, 2020 Carnival fell 81% as Diamond Princess and Grand Princess outbreaks hit. Tracks closing-price decline of any major cruise stock from the May 8, 2026 reference close.
Resolves YES if the closing price of CCL, RCL, or NCLH on any single trading day before 2026-07-01 is ≥30% below its 2026-05-08 close, confirmed by two of {Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance}.
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: NYSE/Nasdaq closing prices via at least two financial data providers
Resolution sources · 3
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
Global news ingestion — geocoded, multilingual. Best signal for non-English regional outbreaks.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry