LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 14:45:39 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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MediamediaNYTcloses in 22d 21h

Will the NY Times run a hantavirus story above the fold by June 1?

Front-page print or top-of-homepage digital placement for ≥6 hours.

YES
46¢
NO
54¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
no data
0%25%50%75%100%
Recent trades
no flow yet
Top holders
YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if a hantavirus-focused article appears on the NYT print front page OR is the lede of nytimes.com homepage for ≥6 consecutive hours, captured in two Wayback snapshots, before 2026-06-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: NYT print archives + Wayback Machine snapshots

Resolution sources · 2

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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