Will a celebrity with >10M followers publicly confirm hantavirus infection by Aug 1?
Tom Hanks' announcement on 11 Mar 2020 was the cultural pivot point of COVID for global audiences. This market tracks the 'Tom Hanks moment' for hantavirus.
Resolves YES if a person with >10M followers on a single major platform (X, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube) publicly confirms a positive lab-confirmed hantavirus diagnosis before 2026-08-01, with corroboration from one major wire (Reuters/AP/AFP).
On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.
cited: Verified social account post + at least one major wire confirmation
Resolution sources · 4
Rules: `(hantavirus OR "andes virus" OR "MV Hondius") -is:retweet lang:en|es|de|fr`. Requires Basic tier; degrade to nitter scraping if needed.
Wire-grade source; resolves the NYT/major-media markets.
Same role as Reuters; AP often publishes WHO embargoes first.
Cheap sentiment + earliest-mover for translated regional press. Run a dedup hash on titles + canonical URL.
ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry