LIVE OUTBREAK
WHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamapWHO DON#599 · risk: LOW ◆ confirmed 14 ◆ unconfirmed 9 ◆ deaths 3 ◆ countries 6 ◆ MV Hondius cluster · Andes virus ◆ last update Sat, 09 May 2026 15:02:51 GMT ◆ Zürich: 1 confirmed (CH FOPH) ◆ feed: WHO · ECDC · PAHO · hantamap
PREDICTHANTA
outbreak intel · est. 2026
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MediafilmHollywoodcovid-echocloses in 52d 20h

Will a top-25 box-office 2026 release be delayed citing hantavirus by July 1?

No Time to Die was delayed on 4 Mar 2020 — the first major studio postponement. By month-end virtually every blockbuster slid out of 2020.

YES
NO
95¢
VOLUME · 24H
LIQUIDITY
TRADERS · 24H
TRADES · 24H
implied probability · last 30d
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YES
NO
Resolution rules

Resolves YES if any film with a 2026 wide release on Box Office Mojo's pre-event top-25 calendar is officially delayed naming hantavirus before 2026-07-01.

Settlement protocol

On settlement the oracle attaches a signed snapshot of each source URL plus a SHA-256 hash of the page content captured at resolution time. Disputes have a 7-day arbitration window.

cited: Studio press releases + Variety / Hollywood Reporter

Resolution sources · 3

ETL workers poll these feeds and merge into the resolution oracle.full registry

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